MathPredictions
▾

New Zealand Southern League

Selwyn United vs Ferrymead Bays Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.16 – 2.77
Avg goals3.93
Our pickAway
Selwyn United 13% Draw 17% Ferrymead Bays 70%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 70% 1.42 1.22
Double chance – Draw or away 87% 1.15 1.04
Goals 4 Under +9% Value 56% 1.80 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.54 –
Asian handicap 2.25 Home +18% Value 66% 1.52 1.83
Corners 9.5 Over 57% 1.76 –
Correct score – 1-2 9% 11.43 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 8.00  ·  Draw 7.00  ·  Away 1.22
Goals 4 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 2.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Selwyn United
10.1 Expected corners
5.8 Ferrymead Bays

Selwyn United corner stats · Ferrymead Bays corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 57% Under 43%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.1 corners in this match, with Selwyn United winning 4.3 of them.
  • Selwyn United win 5.11 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.26 over their last 19.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Selwyn United matches.
  • Across 21 recent matches, Ferrymead Bays games produced 9.24 corners on average — 4.81 taken by Ferrymead Bays themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Ferrymead Bays matches.
  • Games involving Selwyn United produce 4.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 74%.
  • Ferrymead Bays matches average 3.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4.4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.00 (56%).

Selwyn United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H L Nelson Suburbs 1–2 4–5
2026-07-11 A L Dunedin City Royals FC 1–2 4–8
2026-06-27 H L Coastal Spirit 0–5 1–8
2026-06-20 A L Christchurch United 1–4 1–4
2026-06-06 H L Cashmere Technical 1–4 6–12
2026-05-23 A L Northern AFC 1–3 6–4
2026-05-16 H W Wanaka AFC 2–1 12–3
2026-05-09 H L Christchurch United 0–4 5–7
2026-04-27 H L Nomads United 3–5 6–12
2026-04-19 A L Nelson Suburbs 0–6 1–8

Ferrymead Bays — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-17 H W Coastal Spirit 6–0 6–4
2026-07-11 A D Christchurch United 0–0 5–2
2026-06-27 A L Cashmere Technical 0–4 5–8
2026-06-20 A L Northern AFC 0–2 4–5
2026-06-12 H L Cashmere Technical 3–4 2–5
2026-06-06 H W Wanaka AFC 5–0 6–5
2026-05-24 A W Nelson Suburbs 3–2 5–8
2026-05-16 A D Nomads United 1–1 2–4
2026-04-27 A W Dunedin City Royals FC 3–0 5–5
2026-04-19 A W Coastal Spirit 2–1 7–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Selwyn United vs Ferrymead Bays?
Our model gives Selwyn United a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Ferrymead Bays 70%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How many corners are expected in Selwyn United vs Ferrymead Bays?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.