Europe Friendlies
Sestao River vs Portugalete Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 1.24
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Sestao River 38%
Draw 29%
Portugalete 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.61 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.26 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.55 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Sestao River matches average 9.22 total corners (5.08 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Sestao River games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Portugalete win 5.74 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.58 over their last 19.
- Portugalete games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Sestao River matches average 2.05 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- Games involving Portugalete produce 2.58 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 32%.
- The last 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.9 across their last 8 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Sestao River — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | L Athletic Bilbao B | 0–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | L Athletic Club | 0–2 | 1–12 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Utebo | 1–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Amorebieta | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Basconia | 2–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L UD Logrones | 0–2 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D SD Beasain | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D Naxara | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Mutilvera | 4–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | D CD Ebro | 1–1 | 9–5 |
Portugalete — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | H | W Cultural de Durango | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | W Zamudio | 2–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | W Real Sociedad C | 4–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | W Lagun Onak | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-01-24 | A | W CD Derio | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-01-18 | H | W CD Touring | 2–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-01-03 | A | W Aurrera de Vitoria | 2–1 | 7–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | H | W Anorga KKE | 3–0 | 12–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | H | L CD Alaves | 0–3 | 5–3 |
| 2025-11-16 | H | W UD Aretxabaleta | 3–2 | 7–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sestao River vs Portugalete?
- Our model gives Sestao River a 38% chance, the draw 29% and Portugalete 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.