MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Sestao River vs Portugalete Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 1.24
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Sestao River 38% Draw 29% Portugalete 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 38% 2.61 2.35
Double chance Home or away 71% 1.41 1.22
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.85
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.26 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.35  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.55

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Sestao River — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H L Athletic Bilbao B 0–1 5–1
2026-07-23 H L Athletic Club 0–2 1–12
2026-05-03 H W Utebo 1–0 8–0
2026-04-26 A D Amorebieta 1–1 4–7
2026-04-19 H D Basconia 2–2 6–3
2026-04-12 A L UD Logrones 0–2 6–8
2026-04-06 H D SD Beasain 1–1 5–2
2026-03-29 A D Naxara 1–1 5–3
2026-03-22 H W Mutilvera 4–0 4–3
2026-03-14 A D CD Ebro 1–1 9–5

Portugalete — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-02 H W Cultural de Durango 1–0 3–2
2026-03-19 H W Zamudio 2–0 4–1
2026-03-08 H W Real Sociedad C 4–0 6–5
2026-02-22 H W Lagun Onak 3–0 5–2
2026-01-24 A W CD Derio 1–0 4–4
2026-01-18 H W CD Touring 2–0 6–0
2026-01-03 A W Aurrera de Vitoria 2–1 7–2
2025-12-06 H W Anorga KKE 3–0 12–0
2025-12-03 H L CD Alaves 0–3 5–3
2025-11-16 H W UD Aretxabaleta 3–2 7–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sestao River vs Portugalete?
Our model gives Sestao River a 38% chance, the draw 29% and Portugalete 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.