China Division 2
Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.19 – 0.85
Avg goals2.04
Our pickHome
Shanghai Segenda 43%
Draw 33%
Changchun Xidu 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.35 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.92 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.30 · Draw 2.90 · Away 3.00 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.2
Shanghai Segenda
7.0
Expected corners
3.8
Changchun Xidu
Shanghai Segenda corner stats · Changchun Xidu corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 19%
Under 81%
Match trends
- Our model projects 7 corners in this match, with Shanghai Segenda winning 3.2 of them.
- Shanghai Segenda win 2.75 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.75 over their last 20.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 25% of Shanghai Segenda matches.
- Across 26 recent matches, Changchun Xidu games produced 7.92 corners on average — 3.19 taken by Changchun Xidu themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 19% of Changchun Xidu matches.
- Games involving Shanghai Segenda produce 2.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- Changchun Xidu matches average 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.00 (53%).
Shanghai Segenda — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | D Dalian Kewei | 1–1 | 1–11 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Qingdao Red Lions | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | L Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | L Shanghai Port | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Tai'an Tiankuang | 0–0 | 0–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D Shanghai Port Reserves | 1–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | D Nantong Haimen Codion | 2–2 | 3–5 |
Changchun Xidu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Shanghai Port Reserves | 0–2 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Tai'an Tiankuang | 1–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Nantong Haimen Codion | 0–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | D Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Dalian Kewei | 0–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Qingdao Red Lions | 1–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-27 | H | D Beijing Institute | 0–0 | 10–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0–3 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Shanghai Segenda | 0–1 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu?
- Our model gives Shanghai Segenda a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Changchun Xidu 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Changchun Xidu?
- The corner model projects 7.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 19% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.