MathPredictions
▾

China Super League

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 1.30
Avg goals2.62
Our pickHome
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 36% Draw 29% Chongqing Tonglianglong 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.75 2.20
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.30
Goals 2.5 Under 51% 1.95 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 55% 1.83 1.70
Asian handicap -0.25 Away +11% Value 58% 1.74 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over +15% Value 62% 1.61 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.28 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 3.20
Goals 2.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
10.6 Expected corners
5.2 Chongqing Tonglianglong

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng corner stats · Chongqing Tonglianglong corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 62% Under 38%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with Shenzhen Xinpengcheng winning 5.4 of them.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win 4.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.68 over their last 34.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng matches.
  • Across 33 recent matches, Chongqing Tonglianglong games produced 9.97 corners on average — 5.12 taken by Chongqing Tonglianglong themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Chongqing Tonglianglong matches.
  • Games involving Shenzhen Xinpengcheng produce 3.09 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong matches average 2.15 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (51%).

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Yunnan Yukun 3–4 5–3
2026-07-21 A D Shanghai Port 1–1 2–13
2026-07-18 A L Wuhan Three Towns 0–2 4–11
2026-07-11 H W Qingdao West Coast 3–0 5–3
2026-07-04 A L Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 0–3 7–1
2026-06-27 H L Chengdu Rongcheng 2–3 5–9
2026-06-19 A W Shenzhen Juniors 3–1 12–2
2026-05-30 H W Qingdao Hainiu 3–2 9–3
2026-05-24 A W Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 5–7
2026-05-19 H D Dalian Young Boy 1–1 8–7

Chongqing Tonglianglong — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 4–5
2026-07-21 H W Qingdao West Coast 2–0 4–1
2026-07-18 H D Zhejiang 1–1 4–1
2026-07-04 A L Liaoning Ironman 1–3 2–7
2026-06-27 H W Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1–0 2–13
2026-06-20 A W Ningbo Professional FC 2–0 2–3
2026-05-30 H L Beijing Guoan 2–3 4–8
2026-05-24 A W Qingdao Hainiu 1–0 3–8
2026-05-20 H D Yunnan Yukun 0–0 6–3
2026-05-16 A L Shandong Taishan 1–3 4–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Our model gives Shenzhen Xinpengcheng a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Chongqing Tonglianglong 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.