Finland Kolmonen
Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-1
Expected goals3.43 – 1.44
Avg goals4.86
Our pickHome
Sibbov 75%
Draw 14%
ToTe/Tapio 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 75% | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 4.75 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.75 | Away +25% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 3-1 +279% Value | 7% | 13.44 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.14 · Draw 8.50 · Away 11.00 |
| Goals 4.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -2.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 18 recent matches, Sibbov games produced 10.56 corners on average — 4.56 taken by Sibbov themselves.
- Sibbov games clear the 9.5 corner line 72% of the time.
- ToTe/Tapio matches average 10.29 total corners (4.57 won per game) across their last 7 with corner data.
- ToTe/Tapio games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- Sibbov matches average 4.89 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
- Games involving ToTe/Tapio produce 4.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 86%.
- The model leans Under 4.75 goals at 51% probability.
Sibbov — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | W Ponnistus | 2–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | D FC Lahti II | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | W TuPS | 6–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W RiPS | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Gnistan/Ogeli | 3–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W TiPS U21 | 4–2 | 1–13 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Atlantis FC/Akatemia | 1–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L MK United | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W ToTe | 4–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Ponnistus | 3–1 | 9–4 |
ToTe/Tapio — last 7 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W TuPS | 3–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L RiPS | 1–5 | 8–10 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | L Atlantis FC/Akatemia | 1–6 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-04 | A | D Ponnistus | 2–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | D TiPS U21 | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L FC Lahti II | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | L JaPS II | 1–3 | 3–14 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sibbov vs ToTe/Tapio?
- Our model gives Sibbov a 75% chance, the draw 14% and ToTe/Tapio 12%. The most likely score is 3-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.