Europe Friendlies
Siena vs Scandicci Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.72 – 1.37
Avg goals3.09
Our pickHome
Siena 45%
Draw 26%
Scandicci 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.48 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.00 · Draw 3.30 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Siena win 5.13 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 15.
- Siena games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Across 19 recent matches, Scandicci games produced 8.63 corners on average — 4.16 taken by Scandicci themselves.
- Scandicci games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Siena matches average 2.73 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Scandicci produce 2.26 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 52% probability.
Siena — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Prato | 1–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W ASD Seravezza Calcio | 4–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W San Donato Tavarnelle | 3–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | D Prato | 3–3 | 7–8 |
| 2026-01-18 | A | L Poggibonsi | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-01-11 | H | W Orvietana | 5–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-01-04 | A | D ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2025-12-21 | A | W ASD Sporting Trestina | 2–0 | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-15 | H | L Camaiore | 0–3 | 8–3 |
| 2025-11-23 | A | D Grosseto | 1–1 | 3–3 |
Scandicci — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | H | W ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio | 4–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | D ASD Sporting Trestina | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | D Grosseto | 1–1 | 0–6 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | D Aquila 1902 Montevarchi | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-02-15 | H | D ASD Seravezza Calcio | 1–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-02-01 | H | D San Donato Tavarnelle | 0–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-01-18 | H | W Prato | 2–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-01-11 | A | D ASD Terranuova Traiana | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-01-04 | H | W Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 5–0 | 2–4 |
| 2025-12-21 | H | D Poggibonsi | 1–1 | 2–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Siena vs Scandicci?
- Our model gives Siena a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Scandicci 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.