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Latvia 1. Liga

SK Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.13 – 1.77
Avg goals2.90
Our pickAway
SK Super Nova II 23% Draw 26% Riga Mariners 51%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 51% 1.95 1.50
Double chance – Draw or away 77% 1.30 1.11
Goals 3.25 Under +15% Value 63% 1.59 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.75 –
Asian handicap 1.5 Home +28% Value 71% 1.41 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 60% 1.68 –
Correct score – 1-1 +21% Value 12% 8.26 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.00  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 1.50
Goals 3.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.8 SK Super Nova II
10.3 Expected corners
6.4 Riga Mariners

SK Super Nova II corner stats · Riga Mariners corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 60% Under 40%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; SK Super Nova II are forecast for 3.8.
  • SK Super Nova II win 3.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.25 over their last 12.
  • SK Super Nova II games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
  • Across 14 recent matches, Riga Mariners games produced 10.43 corners on average — 5.86 taken by Riga Mariners themselves.
  • Riga Mariners games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
  • SK Super Nova II matches average 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
  • Games involving Riga Mariners produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 63% probability.

SK Super Nova II — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D JDFS Alberts 1–1 2–7
2026-07-19 A L Riga FC II 1–2 5–5
2026-07-05 A D RFS II 1–1 4–8
2026-06-27 H W FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 3–1 1–8
2026-06-14 A L FK Metta 3–7 5–4
2026-05-27 H D Valmiera FC 0–0 5–4
2026-05-14 A W FK Smiltene/BJSS 2–0 7–3
2026-05-09 H W Rezeknes FA 1–0 4–4
2026-05-02 H L Marupes SC 0–1 2–9
2026-04-26 H L Leevon PPK 2–3 2–11

Riga Mariners — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D JFK Ventspils 1–1 13–6
2026-07-18 A L Leevon PPK 1–2 6–4
2026-07-11 H D BFC Daugavpils 3–3 0–7
2026-07-04 A W JDFS Alberts 4–0 9–4
2026-06-28 H W Marupes SC 2–0 3–3
2026-06-20 H W JDFS Alberts 1–0 5–4
2026-06-14 A W Skanstes SK 2–0 1–7
2026-05-16 H W Valmiera FC 3–1 3–7
2026-05-09 H W FK Smiltene/BJSS 1–0 9–2
2026-05-02 A D Rezeknes FA 2–2 8–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win SK Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners?
Our model gives SK Super Nova II a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Riga Mariners 51%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in SK Super Nova II vs Riga Mariners?
The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.