Latvia 1. Liga
Skanstes SK vs Marupes SC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.38 – 1.51
Avg goals2.89
Our pickAway
Skanstes SK 34%
Draw 27%
Marupes SC 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.55 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under +15% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 54% | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +8% Value | 13% | 7.86 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.50 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
Skanstes SK
10.7
Expected corners
4.9
Marupes SC
Skanstes SK corner stats · Marupes SC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 64%
Under 36%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.7 corners here; Skanstes SK are forecast for 5.8.
- Across 22 recent matches, Skanstes SK games produced 11.18 corners on average — 6.09 taken by Skanstes SK themselves.
- Skanstes SK games clear the 9.5 corner line 77% of the time.
- Marupes SC matches average 10.71 total corners (5.67 won per game) across their last 21 with corner data.
- Marupes SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Skanstes SK matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Games involving Marupes SC produce 3.10 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 63% probability.
Skanstes SK — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Leevon PPK | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Valmiera FC | 0–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L JFK Ventspils | 0–3 | 10–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L FK Metta | 1–3 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W FK Smiltene/BJSS | 4–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Riga Mariners | 0–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L JDFS Alberts | 1–4 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W RFS II | 4–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Riga FC II | 2–0 | 5–12 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 0–2 | 5–4 |
Marupes SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | L FK Metta | 0–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L SC Grobinas | 0–1 | 0–12 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W FK Smiltene/BJSS | 2–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Riga Mariners | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L RFS II | 1–4 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Riga FC II | 4–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W SK Super Nova II | 1–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L JDFS Alberts | 1–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Valmiera FC | 2–3 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Skanstes SK vs Marupes SC?
- Our model gives Skanstes SK a 34% chance, the draw 27% and Marupes SC 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Skanstes SK vs Marupes SC?
- The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 64% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.