MathPredictions
▾

Bulgaria First League

Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 1.31
Avg goals2.65
Our pickHome
Slavia Sofia 36% Draw 29% Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +9% Value 36% 2.76 2.90
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.34
Goals 2.5 Under 51% 1.97 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 55% 1.82 1.73
Asian handicap 0 Home 51% 1.97 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over +9% Value 60% 1.66 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.32 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.90  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.50
Goals 2.5 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 9.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Slavia Sofia
10.4 Expected corners
5.8 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Slavia Sofia corner stats · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 60% Under 40%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.4 corners here; Slavia Sofia are forecast for 4.7.
  • Slavia Sofia matches average 11.40 total corners (4.75 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
  • Slavia Sofia games clear the 9.5 corner line 70% of the time.
  • Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win 4.98 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.80 over their last 40.
  • Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • Slavia Sofia matches average 2.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
  • Games involving Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia produce 2.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 51% probability.

Slavia Sofia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Arda Kardzhali 0–1 1–10
2026-07-21 H D CSKA Sofia 0–0 2–11
2026-07-11 H W Montana 1921 7–2 6–1
2026-05-22 H W Montana 1921 2–0 4–8
2026-05-19 A L Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 0–2 4–10
2026-05-13 H L Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich 0–2 7–7
2026-05-10 A L Spartak Varna 1–2 4–8
2026-05-06 H W Septemvri Sofia 2–1 2–5
2026-05-02 A L Beroe 0–3 6–6
2026-04-26 H D Botev Vratsa 1–1 7–5

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Levski Sofia 1–2 5–8
2026-07-21 A D Botev Plovdiv 1–1 1–6
2026-06-26 H W KF Drita 2–1 4–7
2026-05-22 A L Spartak Varna 0–3 7–6
2026-05-19 H W Slavia Sofia 2–0 10–4
2026-05-15 H D Beroe 1–1 8–0
2026-05-09 A D Montana 1921 2–2 3–3
2026-05-06 H D Botev Vratsa 2–2 7–2
2026-05-02 A W Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich 3–0 3–8
2026-04-28 H D Septemvri Sofia 1–1 4–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?
Our model gives Slavia Sofia a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.