Norway Division 2 Group 1
Sotra vs Arendal Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.73 – 1.12
Avg goals2.85
Our pickHome
Sotra 51%
Draw 26%
Arendal 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.98 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 54% | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.57 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.11 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 3.80 · Away 4.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
Sotra
9.8
Expected corners
4.3
Arendal
Sotra corner stats · Arendal corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Sotra are forecast for 5.5.
- Sotra matches average 9.16 total corners (5.64 won per game) across their last 25 with corner data.
- Sotra games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Arendal win 5.81 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.63 over their last 27.
- Arendal games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Sotra matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- Games involving Arendal produce 3.52 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 74%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 54% probability.
Sotra — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Notodden | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L FK Jerv | 1–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Kvik Halden FK | 1–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Brattvåg | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Arendal | 1–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Bjarg | 1–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Vidar | 3–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Eik Tønsberg | 6–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Pors Grenland | 0–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Mjondalen | 4–0 | 5–0 |
Arendal — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Vidar | 4–0 | 10–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Pors Grenland | 4–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W SK Traeff | 3–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Eik Tønsberg | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D Sotra | 1–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L FK Jerv | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Brattvåg | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Sandviken | 0–0 | 7–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Kvik Halden FK | 1–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Notodden | 2–2 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sotra vs Arendal?
- Our model gives Sotra a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Arendal 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sotra vs Arendal?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.