MathPredictions
▾

Australia Tasmania Premier League

South Hobart vs Launceston City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.64 – 1.40
Avg goals4.04
Our pickHome
South Hobart 63% Draw 19% Launceston City 18%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 63% 1.58 1.29
Double chance – Home or draw 82% 1.22 1.03
Goals 3.75 Over 53% 1.89 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 71% 1.42 –
Asian handicap -2 Away +23% Value 69% 1.45 1.93
Corners 11.5 Under 51% 1.97 1.80
Correct score – 2-1 +123% Value 9% 11.64 23.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.29  ·  Draw 5.25  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 3.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1.75 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 11.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.1 South Hobart
11.4 Expected corners
4.3 Launceston City

South Hobart corner stats · Launceston City corner stats

Corner line 11.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11.4 corners in this match, with South Hobart winning 7.1 of them.
  • South Hobart matches average 11.95 total corners (7.27 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 82% of South Hobart matches.
  • Launceston City win 6.32 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.45 over their last 22.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 68% of Launceston City matches.
  • Games involving South Hobart produce 4.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
  • Launceston City matches average 4.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 82% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.75 (53%).

South Hobart — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W Devonport City 3–1 9–4
2026-07-05 A L South East United FC 0–1 9–3
2026-06-27 H W Glenorchy Knights FC 6–1 14–4
2026-06-21 A D Kingborough Lions 1–1 6–4
2026-06-13 A W Clarence Zebras FC 3–1 14–5
2026-05-23 A D Riverside Olympic 1–1 6–3
2026-05-09 A W Launceston City 8–1 7–4
2026-05-02 H W Devonport City 3–2 7–0
2026-03-27 A W Glenorchy Knights FC 2–1 16–2
2026-03-21 H W Kingborough Lions 5–1 5–5

Launceston City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D Riverside Olympic 0–0 6–3
2026-07-22 H W Launceston United 4–2 10–5
2026-07-18 H L Kingborough Lions 1–3 8–4
2026-07-11 A W Clarence Zebras FC 2–1 0–12
2026-06-28 H W South East United FC 1–0 3–4
2026-06-14 A W Ulverstone 3–1 9–3
2026-05-30 A W Glenorchy Knights FC 2–1 8–6
2026-05-24 H L Devonport City 1–3 7–2
2026-05-09 H L South Hobart 1–8 4–7
2026-05-02 A L Kingborough Lions 1–2 3–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win South Hobart vs Launceston City?
Our model gives South Hobart a 63% chance, the draw 19% and Launceston City 18%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in South Hobart vs Launceston City?
The corner model projects 11.4 total corners. Over 11.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.