Australia Tasmania Super League Women
South Hobart (W) vs Taroona (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-1
Expected goals3.43 – 1.14
Avg goals4.57
Our pickHome
South Hobart (W) 80%
Draw 12%
Taroona (W) 8%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 80% | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 92% | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 4.5 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.75 | Away +10% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Correct score | – | 3-1 +433% Value | 8% | 12.58 | 67.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.13 · Draw 8.50 · Away 13.00 |
| Goals 4.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -2.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.5
South Hobart (W)
8.9
Expected corners
2.4
Taroona (W)
South Hobart (W) corner stats · Taroona (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with South Hobart (W) winning 6.5 of them.
- South Hobart (W) matches average 9.94 total corners (6.35 won per game) across their last 17 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of South Hobart (W) matches.
- Taroona (W) win 2.30 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.80 over their last 20.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Taroona (W) matches.
- Games involving South Hobart (W) produce 4.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Taroona (W) matches average 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 5.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.50 (52%).
South Hobart (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Launceston United (W) | 4–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Kingborough Lions (W) | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Devonport Strikers (W) | 0–5 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Taroona (W) | 2–4 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Launceston United (W) | 0–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Launceston United (W) | 6–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Kingborough Lions (W) | 4–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Glenorchy Knights (W) | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Devonport Strikers (W) | 1–5 | 2–4 |
Taroona (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Devonport Strikers (W) | 1–2 | 0–11 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Launceston United (W) | 1–4 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Riverside Olympic (W) | 4–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Glenorchy Knights (W) | 0–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Kingborough Lions (W) | 1–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Launceston City (W) | 1–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W South Hobart (W) | 4–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Devonport Strikers (W) | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Launceston United (W) | 3–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Riverside Olympic (W) | 5–1 | 2–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win South Hobart (W) vs Taroona (W)?
- Our model gives South Hobart (W) a 80% chance, the draw 12% and Taroona (W) 8%. The most likely score is 3-1.
- How many corners are expected in South Hobart (W) vs Taroona (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.