MathPredictions
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Australia NPL Victoria U23

South Melbourne U23 vs St Albans Saints U23 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.09 – 1.16
Avg goals3.25
Our pickHome
South Melbourne U23 58% Draw 23% St Albans Saints U23 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 58% 1.73 1.48
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.24 1.14
Goals 4 Under +27% Value 72% 1.39 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap -1.25 Away +9% Value 60% 1.68 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 63% 1.60 –
Correct score – 1-1 +34% Value 10% 9.68 13.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.48  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 4.10
Goals 4 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 South Melbourne U23
10.6 Expected corners
5.5 St Albans Saints U23

South Melbourne U23 corner stats · St Albans Saints U23 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 63% Under 37%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with South Melbourne U23 winning 5.1 of them.
  • Across 20 recent matches, South Melbourne U23 games produced 9.70 corners on average — 4.30 taken by South Melbourne U23 themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of South Melbourne U23 matches.
  • St Albans Saints U23 matches average 10.00 total corners (5.15 won per game) across their last 20 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of St Albans Saints U23 matches.
  • Games involving South Melbourne U23 produce 3.80 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
  • St Albans Saints U23 matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 4.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 10 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.00 (72%).

South Melbourne U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L Hume City U23 0–1 5–0
2026-07-24 A W Oakleigh Cannons U23 5–0 7–5
2026-07-05 H W Dandenong Thunder U23 3–0 3–5
2026-06-28 H W Green Gully U23 3–2 3–8
2026-06-20 A L Bentleigh Greens U23 0–2 6–2
2026-06-07 H L Altona Magic U23 2–3 7–6
2026-05-30 A W Hume City U23 6–1 4–1
2026-05-10 A L Heidelberg Utd U23 1–6 3–8
2026-04-26 A W St Albans Saints U23 2–0 3–8
2026-04-19 H L Oakleigh Cannons U23 0–2 0–5

St Albans Saints U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 A D Avondale U23 0–0 5–3
2026-07-11 H L Caroline Springs George Cross U23 0–1 3–5
2026-07-05 A W Heidelberg Utd U23 1–0 4–10
2026-06-21 H L Altona Magic U23 1–2 6–3
2026-06-05 A W Oakleigh Cannons U23 1–0 2–6
2026-05-31 H W Preston Lions U23 1–0 8–8
2026-05-23 A W Dandenong City U23 3–2 3–5
2026-05-16 A W Dandenong Thunder U23 3–0 7–1
2026-05-09 H D Green Gully U23 1–1 6–2
2026-04-26 H L South Melbourne U23 0–2 8–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win South Melbourne U23 vs St Albans Saints U23?
Our model gives South Melbourne U23 a 58% chance, the draw 23% and St Albans Saints U23 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in South Melbourne U23 vs St Albans Saints U23?
The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 63% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.