MathPredictions
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Australia NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs St Albans Saints Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.90 – 1.33
Avg goals3.24
Our pickHome
South Melbourne 50% Draw 24% St Albans Saints 26%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 50% 2.01 1.60
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.15
Goals 3 Over 52% 1.92 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 64% 1.57 1.57
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +8% Value 56% 1.78 2.00
Corners 9.5 Over 57% 1.76 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.11 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.60  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 4.10
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.3 South Melbourne
10.1 Expected corners
4.8 St Albans Saints

South Melbourne corner stats · St Albans Saints corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 57% Under 43%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; South Melbourne are forecast for 5.3.
  • Across 52 recent matches, South Melbourne games produced 9.52 corners on average — 5.19 taken by South Melbourne themselves.
  • South Melbourne games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
  • St Albans Saints matches average 10.04 total corners (5.19 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
  • St Albans Saints games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
  • South Melbourne matches average 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving St Albans Saints produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 52% probability.

South Melbourne — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Adelaide United 2–1 7–0
2026-07-24 A W Oakleigh Cannons 2–1 6–1
2026-07-18 H D Preston Lions 0–0 5–9
2026-07-10 A W Dandenong City 2–0 6–7
2026-07-05 H W Dandenong Thunder 1–0 9–2
2026-06-28 H L Green Gully 1–2 13–4
2026-06-19 A W Bentleigh Greens 5–1 10–4
2026-06-07 H L Altona Magic 2–3 6–2
2026-05-30 A D Hume City 1–1 5–5
2026-05-25 H L Avondale 0–4 2–6

St Albans Saints — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W Hume City 3–2 5–2
2026-07-18 A D Avondale 1–1 7–1
2026-07-12 H D Caroline Springs George Cross 2–2 3–5
2026-07-03 A D Heidelberg Utd 1–1 4–5
2026-06-26 H L Melbourne City NPL 0–2 12–4
2026-06-21 H W Altona Magic 2–1 7–8
2026-06-05 A D Oakleigh Cannons 2–2 2–9
2026-05-31 H L Preston Lions 0–1 7–10
2026-05-22 A L Dandenong City 1–2 3–3
2026-05-16 A D Dandenong Thunder 2–2 12–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win South Melbourne vs St Albans Saints?
Our model gives South Melbourne a 50% chance, the draw 24% and St Albans Saints 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in South Melbourne vs St Albans Saints?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.