MathPredictions
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UK Friendlies

Southend vs Aveley Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.94 – 1.30
Avg goals3.23
Our pickHome
Southend 51% Draw 24% Aveley 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 51% 1.94 1.25
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.08
Goals 3.25 Under 54% 1.84 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.58 –
Asian handicap -1.5 Away +38% Value 70% 1.43 1.98
Corners 9.5 Under 55% 1.81 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.19 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.25  ·  Draw 5.25  ·  Away 8.00
Goals 3.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Southend
9.0 Expected corners
3.6 Aveley

Southend corner stats · Aveley corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 45% Under 55%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9 corners in this match, with Southend winning 5.4 of them.
  • Across 59 recent matches, Southend games produced 9.24 corners on average — 5.51 taken by Southend themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Southend matches.
  • Aveley matches average 10.25 total corners (4.81 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Aveley matches.
  • Games involving Southend produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • Aveley matches average 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (54%).

Southend — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Leyton Orient 1–1 5–5
2026-07-23 H L Northampton 1–3 2–4
2026-07-18 H D West Ham 1–1 0–5
2026-05-17 H D Wealdstone 0–0 2–8
2026-04-29 A L Scunthorpe 0–1 4–3
2026-04-25 H W Wealdstone 2–1 3–5
2026-04-22 A L Hartlepool 3–4 4–2
2026-04-18 A W Halifax 6–2 2–4
2026-04-15 A W Aldershot 2–0 4–4
2026-04-11 H D Solihull Moors 0–0 10–8

Aveley — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Canvey Island 4–1 8–3
2026-07-25 A W Brightlingsea Regent 5–1 7–2
2026-07-18 H W Braintree Town 3–2 3–7
2026-07-11 H L Leiston 2–4 6–3
2026-04-30 H L Brentwood Town 1–4 2–6
2026-04-25 A W Wingate & Finchley 2–0 2–3
2026-04-04 A W Chatham Town 1–0 2–6
2026-03-14 A L Billericay 2–3 6–6
2026-02-25 A L Cheshunt 0–2 6–6
2026-02-21 H W Potters Bar Town 2–0 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Southend vs Aveley?
Our model gives Southend a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Aveley 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Southend vs Aveley?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.