MathPredictions
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UK Friendlies

Southport vs Wigan Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.22 – 1.53
Avg goals2.74
Our pickAway
Southport 29% Draw 28% Wigan 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 43% 2.31 2.05
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.38 1.15
Goals 3 Under +15% Value 62% 1.61 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.78 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +15% Value 63% 1.58 1.88
Corners 8.5 Over 51% 1.95 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 +18% Value 13% 7.60 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 2.05
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 8.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.9 Southport
8.6 Expected corners
4.7 Wigan

Southport corner stats · Wigan corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Southport winning 3.9 of them.
  • Across 58 recent matches, Southport games produced 9.38 corners on average — 4.76 taken by Southport themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Southport matches.
  • Wigan matches average 10.29 total corners (4.98 won per game) across their last 58 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Wigan matches.
  • Games involving Southport produce 2.98 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
  • Wigan matches average 2.34 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (62%).

Southport — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Warrington Town 3–2 4–6
2026-07-25 H W FC United of Manchester 2–0 5–4
2026-04-25 H W AFC Telford 2–0 5–6
2026-04-22 A L Macclesfield FC 1–2 3–3
2026-04-18 A L AFC Fylde 0–4 1–9
2026-04-11 H L Leamington 1–2 0–3
2026-04-06 A W Curzon Ashton 3–1 5–3
2026-04-03 H W Marine 2–1 2–7
2026-03-28 H L Southend 1–3 3–3
2026-03-21 A W Chester 2–1 8–3

Wigan — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W AFC Fylde 3–0 7–3
2026-07-18 H L Port Vale 1–3 6–3
2026-05-02 A L Stevenage 0–1 3–3
2026-04-25 H L AFC Wimbledon 0–1 10–3
2026-04-19 A D Port Vale 0–0 3–8
2026-04-15 H W Rotherham 3–0 11–1
2026-04-11 H W Mansfield 2–1 2–4
2026-04-06 A W Northampton 3–1 8–2
2026-04-03 H D Leyton Orient 0–0 4–4
2026-03-28 A L Reading 0–3 9–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Southport vs Wigan?
Our model gives Southport a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Wigan 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Southport vs Wigan?
The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.