Czechia First League
Sparta Prague vs FC Zlin Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.25 – 0.88
Avg goals3.13
Our pickHome
Sparta Prague 67%
Draw 20%
FC Zlin 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 67% | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes +9% Value | 53% | 1.88 | 2.05 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Away +20% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 10 | Over | 53% | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +465% Value | 11% | 9.03 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.20 · Draw 6.00 · Away 10.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.2
Sparta Prague
10.3
Expected corners
3.0
FC Zlin
Sparta Prague corner stats · FC Zlin corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; Sparta Prague are forecast for 7.2.
- Sparta Prague win 6.65 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.81 over their last 54.
- Sparta Prague games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Across 47 recent matches, FC Zlin games produced 9.77 corners on average — 4.34 taken by FC Zlin themselves.
- FC Zlin games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Sparta Prague matches average 2.96 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving FC Zlin produce 2.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 51% probability.
Sparta Prague — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L FC Brno | 1–3 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L FC Nordsjaelland | 1–5 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Gamba Osaka | 3–0 | 11–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Opava | 4–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Hradec Kralove | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Slovan Liberec | 2–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | D Viktoria Plzen | 0–0 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Slavia Prague | 2–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W FK Jablonec | 2–0 | 9–4 |
FC Zlin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Banik Ostrava | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Slask Wroclaw | 1–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Polonia Warsaw | 2–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W Dukla Banska Bystrica | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | L Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W AS Trencin | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L MFK Skalica | 1–2 | 7–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 0–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | D FC Petrzalka | 3–3 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Slovacko | 1–0 | 3–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sparta Prague vs FC Zlin?
- Our model gives Sparta Prague a 67% chance, the draw 20% and FC Zlin 12%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Sparta Prague vs FC Zlin?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.