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Europe Friendlies

Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.17 – 1.22
Avg goals3.40
Our pickHome
Sparta Rotterdam 58% Draw 22% MSV Duisburg 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 58% 1.72 1.33
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.05
Goals 3.5 Under 56% 1.79 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.58 –
Asian handicap -1.5 Away +22% Value 63% 1.58 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 +8% Value 10% 10.22 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.33  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 6.00
Goals 3.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 41 recent matches, Sparta Rotterdam games produced 10.85 corners on average — 4.73 taken by Sparta Rotterdam themselves.
  • Sparta Rotterdam games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
  • MSV Duisburg matches average 9.14 total corners (5.12 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
  • MSV Duisburg games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Sparta Rotterdam matches average 3.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Games involving MSV Duisburg produce 3.05 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 56% probability.

Sparta Rotterdam — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H D Asteras Tripolis 1–1 3–5
2026-07-25 A L Zulte-Waregem 2–3 6–4
2026-07-11 H W Telstar 1–0 6–2
2026-05-17 H L Excelsior 2–3 5–2
2026-05-10 A L FC Twente 0–4 2–9
2026-05-03 H D Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 6–8
2026-04-23 A L Telstar 1–4 5–6
2026-04-12 H L PSV 0–2 2–5
2026-04-05 A D NAC 0–0 3–11
2026-03-22 H W FC Volendam 2–0 3–7

MSV Duisburg — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 H L KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 2–4 5–5
2026-07-18 A L Bonner SC 0–1 5–3
2026-07-08 A W NEC 3–2 5–4
2026-05-16 H D FC Viktoria Köln 1–1 13–3
2026-05-09 A D Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 7–1
2026-05-03 H W Cottbus 2–1 2–5
2026-04-25 A L Alemannia Aachen 1–3 3–3
2026-04-18 H W TSG Hoffenheim II 3–1 6–4
2026-04-11 A W Waldhof Mannheim 4–1 5–7
2026-04-08 H W VfL Osnabruck 1–0 0–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 58% chance, the draw 22% and MSV Duisburg 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.