Bulgaria Second League
Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.19 – 0.87
Avg goals2.06
Our pickHome
Spartak Pleven 42%
Draw 32%
Marek Dupnitsa 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.39 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 50% | 2.00 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.89 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 2.88 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
Spartak Pleven
8.4
Expected corners
4.5
Marek Dupnitsa
Spartak Pleven corner stats · Marek Dupnitsa corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 36%
Under 64%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; Spartak Pleven are forecast for 3.9.
- Spartak Pleven matches average 9.42 total corners (3.26 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
- Spartak Pleven games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- Marek Dupnitsa win 4.62 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.15 over their last 26.
- Marek Dupnitsa games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Spartak Pleven matches average 2.39 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving Marek Dupnitsa produce 2.12 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.6 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 53% probability.
Spartak Pleven — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Yantra Gabrovo | 2–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Minyor Pernik | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | L Yantra Gabrovo | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | D FK Fratria | 1–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | W FC Sevlievo | 2–0 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Sportist Svoge | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D Marek Dupnitsa | 0–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-25 | H | W Belasitza Petrich | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 4–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3–0 | 1–10 |
Marek Dupnitsa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W FK Fratria | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Belasitza Petrich | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Dunav Ruse | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | W Vihren Sandanski | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W CSKA Sofia II | 1–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | D Spartak Pleven | 0–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | D Minyor Pernik | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | L Yantra Gabrovo | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-02-22 | A | D FK Fratria | 1–1 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa?
- Our model gives Spartak Pleven a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Marek Dupnitsa 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Spartak Pleven vs Marek Dupnitsa?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 36% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.