MathPredictions

Bulgaria First League

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-113%1-011%2-19%
Expected goals1.54 – 1.04
Avg goals2.57
Our pickHome
Spartak Varna 48% Draw 27% Septemvri Sofia 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 48% 2.07 1.85
Double chance Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.21
Goals 2.25 Over 54% 1.84 1.83
Both teams to score Yes 51% 1.96 1.91
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 52% 1.94 1.95
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.73
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.92 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.85  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 4.20
Goals 2.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Spartak Varna
8.8 Expected corners
4.5 Septemvri Sofia
Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

Spartak Varna — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-11 A L Botev Plovdiv 2–3 1–4
2026-08-04 H W Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 1–4
2026-07-27 A W Cherno More Varna 3–0 1–9
2026-07-18 H D CSKA 1948 Sofia 2–2 5–5
2026-07-05 A L Botev Plovdiv 0–1 3–1
2026-06-27 H D Dunav Ruse 0–0 10–5
2026-05-22 H W Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 3–0 6–7
2026-05-14 A L Septemvri Sofia 0–1 7–5
2026-05-10 H W Slavia Sofia 2–1 8–4
2026-05-07 H D Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich 1–1 3–6

Septemvri Sofia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-10 H L CSKA Sofia 0–3 2–3
2026-08-02 A L Levski Sofia 0–3 0–7
2026-07-27 A L Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 7–4
2026-07-19 H D Arda Kardzhali 1–1 5–2
2026-07-10 A L Ludogorets Razgrad 0–1 1–0
2026-05-28 H W Yantra Gabrovo 2–1 9–2
2026-05-22 H D Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich 1–1 2–4
2026-05-19 A W Beroe 1–0 2–5
2026-05-14 H W Spartak Varna 1–0 5–7
2026-05-10 A D Botev Vratsa 1–1 4–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our model gives Spartak Varna a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Septemvri Sofia 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.