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Peru Liga 3

Sport Boys Reserves vs Alianza Lima Reserves Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.24 – 1.08
Avg goals2.33
Our pickHome
Sport Boys Reserves 39% Draw 31% Alianza Lima Reserves 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +16% Value 39% 2.60 2.80
Double chance – Home or away 69% 1.44 1.25
Goals 2.25 Under 52% 1.91 1.78
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.94 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +19% Value 64% 1.57 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 14% 6.91 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.80  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.25 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 5 recent matches, Alianza Lima Reserves games produced 7.80 corners on average — 5.00 taken by Alianza Lima Reserves themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 0% of Alianza Lima Reserves matches.
  • Games involving Alianza Lima Reserves produce 1.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 20%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 11.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 52% probability.

Sport Boys Reserves — last 3 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 H W CD Coopsol 2–0 8–2
2026-07-13 A W Sporting Cristal Reserves 3–1 3–6
2026-06-20 H L Union Huaral 0–1 7–6

Alianza Lima Reserves — last 5 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-06 H D Sporting Cristal Reserves 2–2 6–3
2026-06-18 H W Pacifico 1–0 4–4
2026-06-01 H D Universitario de Deportes Reserves 0–0 4–3
2025-10-05 H L CD Estudiantil CNI 0–1 6–0
2025-09-09 H W Juventus Huamachuco FC 1–0 5–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sport Boys Reserves vs Alianza Lima Reserves?
Our model gives Sport Boys Reserves a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Alianza Lima Reserves 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.