MathPredictions
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Peru Liga 1

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 24′ 0–0

Corners0–0
Yellow cards2–0
Shots on target1–1
Shots off target1–1
Attacks16–30
Dangerous attacks4–11
Possession34%–66%
Predicted score 1-114%0-113%0-013%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.15
Avg goals2.12
Our pickAway
Sport Boys 30% Draw 31% Alianza Lima 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.56 1.85
Double chance – Draw or away 70% 1.43 1.20
Goals 2.25 Under 59% 1.70 1.78
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.75 1.67
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +8% Value 61% 1.64 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 71% 1.41 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.18 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.70  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 1.85
Goals 2.25 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.9 Sport Boys
7.8 Expected corners
3.9 Alianza Lima

Sport Boys corner stats · Alianza Lima corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 29% Under 71%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 7.8 corners in this match, with Sport Boys winning 3.9 of them.
  • Sport Boys win 4.32 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.73 over their last 37.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Sport Boys matches.
  • Across 48 recent matches, Alianza Lima games produced 7.50 corners on average — 4.06 taken by Alianza Lima themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 27% of Alianza Lima matches.
  • Games involving Sport Boys produce 2.27 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
  • Alianza Lima matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (59%).

Sport Boys — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A W Atletico Grau 1–0 5–7
2026-07-25 H W AD Tarma 2–0 6–2
2026-07-20 A L CD Los Chankas 0–1 5–5
2026-07-11 H W Comerciantes FC 1–0 7–5
2026-06-28 H W Academia Deportiva Cantolao 3–0 5–2
2026-06-14 A D CD Universidad San Martin 2–2 3–3
2026-05-31 H W Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 8–3
2026-05-24 A D UTC Cajamarca 0–0 4–4
2026-05-17 H W Cusco FC 1–0 7–3
2026-05-12 H D Universitario de Deportes 0–0 3–2

Alianza Lima — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W Alianza Atletico 3–1 8–3
2026-07-27 A D Comerciantes Unidos 2–2 2–1
2026-07-20 H W Sport Huancayo 2–1 11–2
2026-07-13 H L Deportivo Cali 0–2 4–2
2026-06-29 H L Alianza Atletico 1–2 2–6
2026-06-21 A L Carlos Mannucci 1–3 9–1
2026-06-15 A D Cesar Vallejo 0–0 3–10
2026-06-01 A D FC Cajamarca 1–1 1–2
2026-05-24 H W CD Los Chankas 3–0 3–1
2026-05-17 A W Cienciano 1–0 1–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?
Our model gives Sport Boys a 30% chance, the draw 31% and Alianza Lima 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima?
The corner model projects 7.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 29% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.