Brazil Serie A2 Women
Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.64 – 0.75
Avg goals2.39
Our pickHome
Sport Recife (W) 57%
Draw 27%
Rio Negro RR (W) 16%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.74 | 1.29 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 | 14% | 7.20 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.29 · Draw 5.00 · Away 7.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.0
Sport Recife (W)
9.2
Expected corners
3.2
Rio Negro RR (W)
Sport Recife (W) corner stats · Rio Negro RR (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Sport Recife (W) winning 6 of them.
- Across 17 recent matches, Sport Recife (W) games produced 9.24 corners on average — 5.76 taken by Sport Recife (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 29% of Sport Recife (W) matches.
- Rio Negro RR (W) matches average 8.07 total corners (3.33 won per game) across their last 15 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 20% of Rio Negro RR (W) matches.
- Games involving Sport Recife (W) produce 2.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 24%.
- Rio Negro RR (W) matches average 2.87 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (57%).
Sport Recife (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Taubate (W) | 0–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | W Paysandu (W) | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Itabirito (W) | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Acao (W) | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Itabirito (W) | 0–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Criciuma (W) | 3–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | D Perolas Negras (W) | 1–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W Vila Nova GO (W) | 3–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Vasco da Gama (W) | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | W Doce Mel EC (W) | 2–0 | 15–1 |
Rio Negro RR (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Itabirito (W) | 0–2 | 5–11 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Minas ICESP DF (W) | 0–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Perolas Negras (W) | 1–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | W Ceara (W) | 2–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Vasco da Gama (W) | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Coritiba (W) | 1–3 | 0–10 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Taubate (W) | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | L CA Piauiense (W) | 1–8 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Itacoatiara (W) | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W UD Alagoana (W) | 1–0 | 4–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)?
- Our model gives Sport Recife (W) a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Rio Negro RR (W) 16%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Sport Recife (W) vs Rio Negro RR (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.