Peru Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.44 – 0.87
Avg goals3.32
Our pickHome
Sporting Cristal 71%
Draw 18%
Juan Pablo II College 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 71% | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 52% | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Away +6% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over +15% Value | 62% | 1.61 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +452% Value | 11% | 9.23 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 5.50 · Away 11.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.2
Sporting Cristal
10.6
Expected corners
3.4
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal corner stats · Juan Pablo II College corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 62%
Under 38%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with Sporting Cristal winning 7.2 of them.
- Sporting Cristal matches average 10.11 total corners (5.76 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Sporting Cristal matches.
- Juan Pablo II College win 4.26 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.20 over their last 35.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Juan Pablo II College matches.
- Games involving Sporting Cristal produce 2.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
- Juan Pablo II College matches average 2.54 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (52%).
Sporting Cristal — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | L Bragantino | 0–1 | 0–10 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L FBC Melgar | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | D Bragantino | 0–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Deportivo Garcilaso | 1–0 | 10–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Bentin Tacna Heroica | 1–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Union Comercio | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | W CD Estudiantil CNI | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D Comerciantes FC | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Cienciano | 2–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Cerro Porteno | 0–2 | 1–6 |
Juan Pablo II College — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Cienciano | 2–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D FC Cajamarca | 2–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D Comerciantes Unidos | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Club Ada Jaen | 0–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Deportivo Garcilaso | 1–4 | 3–0 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D FBC Melgar | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Alianza Atletico | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L Sport Huancayo | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Universitario de Deportes | 1–4 | 0–9 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Sport Boys | 1–1 | 3–10 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College?
- Our model gives Sporting Cristal a 71% chance, the draw 18% and Juan Pablo II College 11%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.