Panama LPF
Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.46
Avg goals2.50
Our pickAway
Sporting San Miguelito 26%
Draw 29%
Plaza Amador 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.20 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.34 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home | 54% | 1.84 | 2.05 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 59% | 1.69 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.29 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.75 · Draw 3.10 · Away 2.35 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 2.05 · Away 1.75 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Sporting San Miguelito
8.7
Expected corners
5.1
Plaza Amador
Sporting San Miguelito corner stats · Plaza Amador corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 41%
Under 59%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.7 corners in this match, with Sporting San Miguelito winning 3.6 of them.
- Sporting San Miguelito matches average 8.79 total corners (3.93 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Sporting San Miguelito matches.
- Plaza Amador win 5.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.07 over their last 44.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Plaza Amador matches.
- Games involving Sporting San Miguelito produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- Plaza Amador matches average 3.11 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (53%).
Sporting San Miguelito — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D Tauro FC | 0–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Alianza FC Panama | 2–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Tauro FC | 2–0 | 3–11 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | L Plaza Amador | 0–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-14 | H | D UMECIT | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L CD Arabe Unido | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-30 | H | L San Francisco FC | 0–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | L Veraguas United | 2–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | D Herrera FC | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | W Union Cocle | 2–1 | 4–4 |
Plaza Amador — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L Diriangen | 2–4 | 13–2 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D CD Arabe Unido | 2–2 | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Alianza FC Panama | 2–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W UMECIT | 3–0 | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W CD Arabe Unido | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D UMECIT | 2–2 | 10–2 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Sporting San Miguelito | 3–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Alianza FC Panama | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W Tauro FC | 1–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Union Cocle | 1–0 | 9–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador?
- Our model gives Sporting San Miguelito a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Plaza Amador 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.