Elite Club Friendlies
Sporting vs Nottm Forest Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.87 – 1.61
Avg goals3.47
Our pickHome
Sporting 43%
Draw 24%
Nottm Forest 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.31 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 69% | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 51% | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +15% Value | 64% | 1.57 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.78 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.80 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.7
Expected corners
Sporting corner stats · Nottm Forest corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 64%
Under 36%
Match trends
- Sporting win 6.45 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.88 over their last 60.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Sporting matches.
- Across 61 recent matches, Nottm Forest games produced 9.66 corners on average — 5.20 taken by Nottm Forest themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Nottm Forest matches.
- Games involving Sporting produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- Nottm Forest matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.25 (51%).
Sporting — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Monaco | 2–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | W Strasbourg | 7–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Celtic | 4–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Torreense | 1–1 | 14–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Gil Vicente | 3–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | W Rio Ave | 4–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | W Guimaraes | 5–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | D Tondela | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | D AVS | 1–1 | 9–0 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | D FC Porto | 0–0 | 4–6 |
Nottm Forest — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Blackburn | 3–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Notts County | 2–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Bournemouth | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Man Utd | 2–3 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Newcastle | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Aston Villa | 0–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | W Chelsea | 3–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Aston Villa | 1–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Sunderland | 5–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Burnley | 4–1 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sporting vs Nottm Forest?
- Our model gives Sporting a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Nottm Forest 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sporting vs Nottm Forest?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 64% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.