Paraguay Women League
Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 1.73
Avg goals3.48
Our pickHome
Sportivo Ameliano (W) 38%
Draw 24%
Sportivo Luqueno (W) 38%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +11% Value | 38% | 2.61 | 2.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 68% | 1.48 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.74 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.90 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
7.7
Expected corners
4.0
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Sportivo Ameliano (W) corner stats · Sportivo Luqueno (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 25%
Under 75%
Match trends
- Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with Sportivo Ameliano (W) winning 3.6 of them.
- Sportivo Ameliano (W) win 3.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.54 over their last 13.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 23% of Sportivo Ameliano (W) matches.
- Across 12 recent matches, Sportivo Luqueno (W) games produced 6.67 corners on average — 2.75 taken by Sportivo Luqueno (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 8% of Sportivo Luqueno (W) matches.
- Games involving Sportivo Ameliano (W) produce 5.08 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 77%.
- Sportivo Luqueno (W) matches average 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 7.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (68%).
Sportivo Ameliano (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 2–6 | 7–11 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | D Rubio Nu (W) | 1–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D Rubio Nu (W) | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 2–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 2–6 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0–10 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-27 | H | L Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 0–7 | 0–6 |
| 2025-11-23 | A | L Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1–4 | 1–9 |
| 2025-11-16 | H | D 2 de Mayo (W) | 1–1 | 2–7 |
Sportivo Luqueno (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A | D 2 de Mayo (W) | 2–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L 2 de Mayo (W) | 0–5 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | L Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1–6 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Libertad Asuncion (W) | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Rubio Nu (W) | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Guarani Asuncion (W) | 0–5 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | H | L General Caballero JLM (W) | 0–6 | 1–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
- Our model gives Sportivo Ameliano (W) a 38% chance, the draw 24% and Sportivo Luqueno (W) 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Sportivo Luqueno (W)?
- The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 25% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.