MathPredictions
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Uruguay Primera Division Amateur

Sportivo Bella Italia vs Platense Montevideo Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.51 – 1.09
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Sportivo Bella Italia 46% Draw 28% Platense Montevideo 26%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 46% 2.19 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 74% 1.35 1.24
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 2.03
Both teams to score – Yes 53% 1.89 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.44 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 2 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 10 recent matches, Platense Montevideo games produced 9.40 corners on average — 4.10 taken by Platense Montevideo themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Platense Montevideo matches.
  • Games involving Platense Montevideo produce 2.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Sportivo Bella Italia — last 1 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-03 H W IA Sud America 3–0 2–7

Platense Montevideo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-29 H W Artigas 2–1 6–4
2026-06-22 A W Potencia 2–0 5–4
2026-06-06 H W Salus 2–0 2–14
2026-06-01 A L Deportivo LSM 0–1 3–3
2026-05-20 A W Durazno 1–0 1–6
2026-05-04 A L CA Lito 1–3 7–5
2025-09-27 H D Paysandu FC 1–1 1–11
2025-09-20 H L Durazno 0–2 2–2
2025-09-14 A D Huracan Buceo 1–1 7–3
2025-09-07 H L Deutscher FK 0–3 7–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sportivo Bella Italia vs Platense Montevideo?
Our model gives Sportivo Bella Italia a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Platense Montevideo 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.