Paraguay Reserve League
Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves vs Guarani Asuncion Reserves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 0–5 (HT 0–2)
Corners2–3
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target1–7
Shots off target3–6
Attacks82–132
Dangerous attacks26–78
Possession31%–69%
Predicted score
0-2
Expected goals0.86 – 2.60
Avg goals3.46
Our pickAway
Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves 9%
Draw 17%
Guarani Asuncion Reserves 74%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 91% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under +8% Value | 55% | 1.84 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Asian handicap | 2 | Home +14% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 0-2 | 11% | 9.41 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 8.50 · Draw 7.00 · Away 1.20 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 2 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.3
Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves
8.9
Expected corners
5.7
Guarani Asuncion Reserves
Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves corner stats · Guarani Asuncion Reserves corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves are forecast for 3.3.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves win 4.11 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.16 over their last 19.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Across 37 recent matches, Guarani Asuncion Reserves games produced 8.92 corners on average — 5.68 taken by Guarani Asuncion Reserves themselves.
- Guarani Asuncion Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves matches average 3.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- Games involving Guarani Asuncion Reserves produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 5.8 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 55% probability.
Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | L Guarani Asuncion Reserves | 0–5 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W 2 de Mayo Reserves | 2–1 | 12–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1–2 | 4–11 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L 2 de Mayo Reserves | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Libertad Asuncion Reserves | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Sportivo Trinidense Reserves | 0–3 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Guarani Asuncion Reserves | 0–4 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Deportivo Recoleta Reserves | 1–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-01 | H | D Sportivo Ameliano Reserves | 1–1 | 5–6 |
Guarani Asuncion Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | W Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves | 5–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | D Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 0–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Deportivo Recoleta Reserves | 2–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | W Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 5–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Cerro Porteno Asuncion Reserves | 0–6 | 5–0 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | W Nacional Asuncion Reserves | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | W 2 de Mayo Reserves | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves | 4–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Libertad Asuncion Reserves | 0–0 | 9–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves vs Guarani Asuncion Reserves?
- Our model gives Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves a 9% chance, the draw 17% and Guarani Asuncion Reserves 74%. The most likely score is 0-2.
- How many corners are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves vs Guarani Asuncion Reserves?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.