UK Friendlies
St Albans vs Hemel Hempstead Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.11 – 1.55
Avg goals2.66
Our pickAway
St Albans 26%
Draw 28%
Hemel Hempstead 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.16 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.56 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.50 · Draw 3.90 · Away 1.57 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
St Albans
7.8
Expected corners
3.9
Hemel Hempstead
St Albans corner stats · Hemel Hempstead corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 30%
Under 70%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.8 corners here; St Albans are forecast for 3.9.
- St Albans matches average 9.70 total corners (5.74 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
- St Albans games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Hemel Hempstead win 4.35 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.65 over their last 52.
- Hemel Hempstead games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- St Albans matches average 3.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Hemel Hempstead produce 2.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 50% probability.
St Albans — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | D Real Bedford | 4–4 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Bedfont Sports | 4–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Wingate & Finchley | 0–2 | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L Folkestone Invicta | 1–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Ramsgate | 2–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | D Chichester City | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Dulwich | 1–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | D Welling | 0–0 | 7–7 |
| 2026-01-31 | H | L Cray Wanderers | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-01-28 | A | L Billericay | 2–3 | 4–7 |
Hemel Hempstead — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Wealdstone | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | D Weston Super Mare | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Salisbury | 1–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Torquay | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Eastbourne Borough | 3–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Enfield Town | 0–0 | 4–0 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Chesham | 0–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-01 | A | D Weston Super Mare | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Dorking | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-25 | A | W Bath City | 3–0 | 6–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win St Albans vs Hemel Hempstead?
- Our model gives St Albans a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Hemel Hempstead 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in St Albans vs Hemel Hempstead?
- The corner model projects 7.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 30% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.