Australia Queensland Premier League
St George Willawong FC vs Brisbane Strikers Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-2
Expected goals0.77 – 2.34
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
St George Willawong FC 10%
Draw 18%
Brisbane Strikers 72%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 90% | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 58% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1.25 | Away +5% Value | 56% | 1.79 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-2 | 12% | 8.16 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.20 · Draw 4.50 · Away 1.53 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 1.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
St George Willawong FC
8.1
Expected corners
3.5
Brisbane Strikers
St George Willawong FC corner stats · Brisbane Strikers corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 34%
Under 66%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.1 corners in this match, with St George Willawong FC winning 4.6 of them.
- St George Willawong FC win 4.43 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.61 over their last 28.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of St George Willawong FC matches.
- Across 28 recent matches, Brisbane Strikers games produced 8.86 corners on average — 4.29 taken by Brisbane Strikers themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Brisbane Strikers matches.
- Games involving St George Willawong FC produce 3.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 36%.
- Brisbane Strikers matches average 3.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 8.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (58%).
St George Willawong FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Caboolture FC | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Robina City | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Capalaba Bulldogs | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W North Star | 2–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | L Holland Park Hawks | 1–2 | 7–0 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Broadbeach United | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Redlands United | 0–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-03 | A | L Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0–8 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Ipswich FC | 0–4 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Logan Lightning | 0–2 | 4–1 |
Brisbane Strikers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Broadbeach United | 2–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 2–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Logan Lightning | 3–2 | 0–9 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W Ipswich FC | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Caboolture FC | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Robina City | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | W North Star | 3–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Capalaba Bulldogs | 8–0 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Holland Park Hawks | 3–2 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | D Redlands United | 1–1 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win St George Willawong FC vs Brisbane Strikers?
- Our model gives St George Willawong FC a 10% chance, the draw 18% and Brisbane Strikers 72%. The most likely score is 0-2.
- How many corners are expected in St George Willawong FC vs Brisbane Strikers?
- The corner model projects 8.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.