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Scotland Premiership

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.68 – 0.97
Avg goals2.65
Our pickHome
St Johnstone 53% Draw 27% Kilmarnock 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +16% Value 53% 1.89 2.20
Double chance – Home or draw +6% Value 79% 1.26 1.34
Goals 2.5 Under 51% 1.98 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.94 1.67
Asian handicap -0.25 Home +15% Value 61% 1.64 1.93
Corners 10 Over 50% 1.98 1.83
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.90 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 3.20
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.93
Corners 10 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.3 St Johnstone
10.0 Expected corners
3.7 Kilmarnock

St Johnstone corner stats · Kilmarnock corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10 corners here; St Johnstone are forecast for 6.3.
  • St Johnstone win 7.45 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.60 over their last 47.
  • St Johnstone games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
  • Across 46 recent matches, Kilmarnock games produced 9.85 corners on average — 4.39 taken by Kilmarnock themselves.
  • Kilmarnock games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
  • St Johnstone matches average 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving Kilmarnock produce 3.02 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 11 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 51% probability.

St Johnstone — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D East Fife 1–1 9–1
2026-07-22 A L Inverness CT 0–1 2–5
2026-07-18 H W Morton 3–0 12–0
2026-07-15 A W Linlithgow Rose 2–0 4–1
2026-07-11 A W Cove Rangers 4–2 11–2
2026-07-01 A W Forfar 4–0 10–3
2026-05-02 A W Ayr 1–0 9–7
2026-04-25 H W Raith 2–0 11–0
2026-04-22 A W Dunfermline 2–0 7–3
2026-04-11 H W Airdrieonians 4–0 6–4

Kilmarnock — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Hamilton 1–0 6–3
2026-07-18 A W Elgin 1–0 7–6
2026-07-15 H D Raith 0–0 6–6
2026-07-04 A W Linfield 3–2 3–8
2026-07-01 A W Glentoran 4–0 6–8
2026-05-17 A W Livingston 4–1 1–6
2026-05-13 H W Dundee 3–1 6–2
2026-05-09 A W St Mirren 3–0 4–1
2026-05-02 H W Dundee Utd 3–0 4–8
2026-04-25 A L Aberdeen 0–1 5–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
Our model gives St Johnstone a 53% chance, the draw 27% and Kilmarnock 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.