USA MLS
St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.70 – 1.31
Avg goals3.01
Our pickHome
St. Louis City SC 46%
Draw 26%
Real Salt Lake 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.19 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.28 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.4
St. Louis City SC
10.6
Expected corners
4.2
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City SC corner stats · Real Salt Lake corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.6 corners here; St. Louis City SC are forecast for 6.4.
- St. Louis City SC matches average 10.59 total corners (5.59 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
- St. Louis City SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 66% of the time.
- Real Salt Lake win 4.88 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.09 over their last 33.
- Real Salt Lake games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- St. Louis City SC matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.
- Games involving Real Salt Lake produce 3.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 73%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.8 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 54% probability.
St. Louis City SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Colorado Rapids | 1–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | W LA Galaxy | 3–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Kansas City | 3–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Austin FC | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | D Houston Dynamo | 2–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D DC United | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W LAFC | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Colorado Rapids | 1–0 | 1–11 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Austin FC | 0–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | W Chicago Fire | 2–1 | 5–5 |
Real Salt Lake — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Portland Timbers | 1–2 | 5–14 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L LAFC | 1–3 | 12–7 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Burnley | 4–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Minnesota Utd | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Colorado Rapids | 2–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Houston Dynamo | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L FC Dallas | 1–3 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Portland Timbers | 2–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L LA Galaxy | 1–2 | 0–7 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | L Inter Miami | 0–2 | 2–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
- Our model gives St. Louis City SC a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Real Salt Lake 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.