Elite Club Friendlies
St Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.29
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
St Pauli 36%
Draw 29%
Deportivo La Coruna 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 36% | 2.78 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.24 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.50 · Draw 3.20 · Away 2.50 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- St Pauli win 4.87 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.57 over their last 47.
- St Pauli games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- Across 51 recent matches, Deportivo La Coruna games produced 8.96 corners on average — 4.82 taken by Deportivo La Coruna themselves.
- Deportivo La Coruna games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- St Pauli matches average 2.74 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Deportivo La Coruna produce 2.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
St Pauli — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | H | L Bournemouth | 1–4 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W HNK Gorica | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Babelsberg 03 | 4–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W BSV Kickers Emden | 3–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | W Altona 93 | 6–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Wolfsburg | 1–3 | 8–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L RB Leipzig | 1–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Mainz | 1–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Heidenheim | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Cologne | 1–1 | 8–5 |
Deportivo La Coruna — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Lugo | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Real Oviedo | 0–0 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Compostela | 4–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | L Las Palmas | 1–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Valladolid | 2–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W FC Andorra | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Cadiz | 1–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Leganes | 2–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Burgos | 1–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-21 | H | W Mirandes | 3–1 | 1–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win St Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Our model gives St Pauli a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo La Coruna 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.