MathPredictions

Elite Club Friendlies

St Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.29
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
St Pauli 36% Draw 29% Deportivo La Coruna 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 36% 2.78 2.50
Double chance Home or away 71% 1.41 1.25
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.85
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.24

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.50

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

St Pauli — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H L Bournemouth 1–4 2–6
2026-07-19 H W HNK Gorica 2–1 9–4
2026-07-11 A W Babelsberg 03 4–1 5–5
2026-07-05 A W BSV Kickers Emden 3–1 3–4
2026-07-01 A W Altona 93 6–2 4–4
2026-05-16 H L Wolfsburg 1–3 8–9
2026-05-09 A L RB Leipzig 1–2 5–3
2026-05-03 H L Mainz 1–2 7–7
2026-04-25 A L Heidenheim 0–2 6–6
2026-04-18 H D Cologne 1–1 8–5

Deportivo La Coruna — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Lugo 1–0 7–2
2026-07-26 A D Real Oviedo 0–0 5–0
2026-07-19 A W Compostela 4–0 5–3
2026-06-01 H L Las Palmas 1–2 1–5
2026-05-25 A W Valladolid 2–0 3–6
2026-05-17 H W FC Andorra 2–1 2–1
2026-05-09 A W Cadiz 1–0 9–3
2026-05-02 H W Leganes 2–1 9–2
2026-04-26 A D Burgos 1–1 3–7
2026-04-21 H W Mirandes 3–1 1–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win St Pauli vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our model gives St Pauli a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo La Coruna 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.