Europe Friendlies
Stade Payerne vs FC Monthey Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.87 – 1.44
Avg goals3.31
Our pickHome
Stade Payerne 47%
Draw 24%
FC Monthey 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 47% | 2.13 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.24 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 3.70 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Stade Payerne matches average 9.94 total corners (3.94 won per game) across their last 16 with corner data.
- Stade Payerne games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- FC Monthey win 4.17 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.00 over their last 6.
- FC Monthey games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
- Stade Payerne matches average 2.69 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving FC Monthey produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
Stade Payerne — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Yverdon Sport FC II | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | L Breitenrain | 0–6 | 0–11 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D FC Sion II | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-19 | A | L CS Chênois | 0–2 | 0–5 |
| 2026-03-01 | A | D FC Coffrane | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-02-26 | H | L FC Portalban Gletterens | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-02-05 | H | D Bavois | 2–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-01-31 | A | L Biel Bienne | 0–2 | 0–9 |
| 2025-11-23 | H | W FC Prishtina Bern | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2025-11-02 | A | L Servette II | 0–2 | 2–7 |
FC Monthey — last 6 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Servette II | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-09 | H | D FC Coffrane | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2025-11-23 | H | D FC Portalban Gletterens | 1–1 | 3–10 |
| 2025-10-12 | A | W FC La Sarraz | 5–0 | 4–4 |
| 2025-09-13 | A | W Meyrin | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2025-09-07 | A | L Lancy FC | 1–6 | 4–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Stade Payerne vs FC Monthey?
- Our model gives Stade Payerne a 47% chance, the draw 24% and FC Monthey 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.