Poland I Liga
Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.76
Avg goals3.13
Our pickAway
Stal Mielec 29%
Draw 25%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +10% Value | 46% | 2.19 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away +12% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 57% | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.63 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.45 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
Stal Mielec
10.1
Expected corners
5.3
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Stal Mielec corner stats · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.1 corners in this match, with Stal Mielec winning 4.8 of them.
- Stal Mielec matches average 11.24 total corners (5.42 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 71% of Stal Mielec matches.
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win 4.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.36 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala matches.
- Games involving Stal Mielec produce 3.37 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 79%.
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala matches average 2.95 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (56%).
Stal Mielec — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Unia Skierniewice | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Avia Swidnik | 3–4 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D JKS Jaroslaw | 2–2 | 11–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Puszcza Niepolomice | 1–4 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | L Podhale Nowy Targ | 1–5 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Polonia Bytom | 4–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Pogon Siedlce | 3–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Puszcza Niepolomice | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Miedz Legnica | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Slask Wroclaw | 2–3 | 5–12 |
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D Miedz Legnica | 1–1 | 8–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Wisla Krakow | 1–0 | 2–9 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | W Banik Ostrava B | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | D Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 2–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 3–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | W Slask Wroclaw II | 2–1 | 8–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Podhale Nowy Targ | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Resovia Rzeszow | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Sokol Kleczew | 3–0 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
- Our model gives Stal Mielec a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
- The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.