MathPredictions

UK Friendlies

Stevenage vs Colchester Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.22
Avg goals2.41
Our pickAway
Stevenage 34% Draw 30% Colchester 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away +95% Value 35% 2.83 5.50
Double chance Home or away 70% 1.43 1.18
Goals 2.5 Under 57% 1.77 2.00
Both teams to score Yes 50% 1.98
Corners 9.5 Under 70% 1.42
Correct score 1-1 14% 6.97 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.50  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 5.50
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.8 Stevenage
7.8 Expected corners
4.0 Colchester
Corner line 9.50
Over 30% Under 70%

Match trends

Stevenage — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Millwall 1–0 5–9
2026-07-23 H L West Ham 0–5 9–6
2026-07-18 A D FC Andorra 0–0 2–4
2026-05-14 A L Stockport 0–2 5–7
2026-05-09 H L Stockport 0–1 4–10
2026-05-02 H W Wigan 1–0 3–3
2026-04-25 A D Doncaster 1–1 3–4
2026-04-22 H W Barnsley 1–0 5–3
2026-04-18 H D Lincoln City 2–2 2–8
2026-04-15 A L Bolton 1–5 3–8

Colchester — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H L Charlton 0–2 2–3
2026-07-22 H L Peterborough 2–3 3–11
2026-05-02 A W Cheltenham 4–1 1–9
2026-04-25 H L Notts County 0–1 4–5
2026-04-18 A L Harrogate Town 0–1 5–7
2026-04-15 H W Accrington Stanley 2–1 6–2
2026-04-11 H W Swindon 3–0 10–1
2026-04-06 A W Tranmere 1–0 8–5
2026-04-03 H L Oldham 1–3 7–2
2026-03-28 H D Walsall 1–1 9–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Stevenage vs Colchester?
Our model gives Stevenage a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Colchester 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Stevenage vs Colchester?
The corner model projects 7.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 30% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.