MathPredictions
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Europe Friendlies

Stoke vs Valencia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.27 – 1.30
Avg goals2.57
Our pickAway
Stoke 35% Draw 29% Valencia 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 36% 2.75 2.38
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.24
Goals 2.5 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.87 –
Asian handicap 0 Away 51% 1.95 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.19 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.60  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.38
Goals 2.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 54 recent matches, Stoke games produced 10.56 corners on average — 5.67 taken by Stoke themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Stoke matches.
  • Valencia matches average 9.32 total corners (4.85 won per game) across their last 47 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Valencia matches.
  • Games involving Stoke produce 2.22 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
  • Valencia matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).

Stoke — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H W Everton 1–0 7–7
2026-07-18 A D Crewe 1–1 6–1
2026-06-11 A L Man Utd 0–2 0–4
2026-05-02 A L Bristol City 0–2 15–2
2026-04-25 H L Portsmouth 1–3 8–1
2026-04-22 H L Millwall 1–3 11–1
2026-04-18 A L Wrexham 0–2 6–2
2026-04-11 H D Blackburn 1–1 4–3
2026-04-06 A L Derby 0–2 3–5
2026-04-03 H W Sheff Wed 2–0 7–2

Valencia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L CD Castellon 1–2 3–3
2026-07-23 H W Eldense 3–0 2–3
2026-05-24 H W Barcelona 3–1 7–8
2026-05-18 A W Real Sociedad 4–3 2–3
2026-05-15 H D Rayo Vallecano 1–1 5–1
2026-05-10 A W Athletic Club 1–0 5–13
2026-05-02 H L Atletico Madrid 0–2 1–7
2026-04-26 H W Girona 2–1 4–4
2026-04-22 A D Mallorca 1–1 3–5
2026-04-11 A L Elche 0–1 9–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Stoke vs Valencia?
Our model gives Stoke a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Valencia 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.