MathPredictions
▾

Australia SA Premier League Reserves

Sturt Lions Reserves vs Adelaide Comets Reserves Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.43 – 1.93
Avg goals4.36
Our pickHome
Sturt Lions Reserves 49% Draw 20% Adelaide Comets Reserves 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 49% 2.04 1.73
Double chance – Home or away 80% 1.26 1.10
Goals 4 Over 55% 1.83 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 79% 1.27 –
Asian handicap -0.75 Away 56% 1.78 1.85
Corners 9.5 Under 50% 1.99 –
Correct score – 2-1 +9% Value 7% 13.74 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.73  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 3.00
Goals 4 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Sturt Lions Reserves
9.5 Expected corners
4.6 Adelaide Comets Reserves

Sturt Lions Reserves corner stats · Adelaide Comets Reserves corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Sturt Lions Reserves are forecast for 4.9.
  • Across 21 recent matches, Sturt Lions Reserves games produced 9.95 corners on average — 5.95 taken by Sturt Lions Reserves themselves.
  • Sturt Lions Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
  • Adelaide Comets Reserves matches average 9.16 total corners (5.37 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
  • Adelaide Comets Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 26% of the time.
  • Sturt Lions Reserves matches average 3.90 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
  • Games involving Adelaide Comets Reserves produce 4.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 79%.
  • The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.4 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10 across their last 9 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 4.00 goals at 55% probability.

Sturt Lions Reserves — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W West Adelaide Reserves 3–1 3–5
2026-07-04 H W Playford Reserves 4–1 7–4
2026-06-27 A L West Torrens Birkalla Reserves 0–3 4–0
2026-06-13 A L Metrostars Reserves 1–2 6–10
2026-06-06 A W Adelaide City Reserves 3–2 4–1
2026-05-30 H D White City FK Beograd Reserves 3–3 7–3
2026-05-23 A L Campbelltown City Reserves 0–1 3–8
2026-05-16 H W Croydon FC Reserves 4–2 8–2
2026-05-09 A W Adelaide Comets Reserves 4–1 5–4
2026-04-18 H D Adelaide City Reserves 2–2 7–7

Adelaide Comets Reserves — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A D Campbelltown Reserves 1–1 5–1
2026-06-28 H W Croydon Kings Reserves 5–2 5–2
2026-06-06 A W Playford Reserves 9–1 5–3
2026-05-30 A L West Torrens Birkalla Reserves 1–4 6–2
2026-05-23 H L Para Hills Knights Reserves 3–4 4–4
2026-05-16 A L Metrostars Reserves 1–4 2–7
2026-05-09 H L Sturt Lions Reserves 1–4 4–5
2026-04-18 H W Playford Reserves 5–1 15–5
2026-04-11 A W Croydon FC Reserves 1–0 4–3
2026-03-28 A D Adelaide City Reserves 3–3 4–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sturt Lions Reserves vs Adelaide Comets Reserves?
Our model gives Sturt Lions Reserves a 49% chance, the draw 20% and Adelaide Comets Reserves 31%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Sturt Lions Reserves vs Adelaide Comets Reserves?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.