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Australia South Australia Premier League

Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.94 – 1.15
Avg goals3.09
Our pickHome
Sturt Lions 55% Draw 24% Adelaide Comets 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 55% 1.83 1.75
Double chance – Home or draw 79% 1.27 1.19
Goals 3 Under 52% 1.92 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.68 1.57
Asian handicap -0.75 Away 51% 1.96 1.80
Corners 8.5 Under 51% 1.95 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.95 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.75  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 3.70
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 8.5 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Sturt Lions
8.4 Expected corners
3.4 Adelaide Comets

Sturt Lions corner stats · Adelaide Comets corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.4 corners in this match, with Sturt Lions winning 5 of them.
  • Sturt Lions win 4.30 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.59 over their last 27.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Sturt Lions matches.
  • Across 26 recent matches, Adelaide Comets games produced 8.69 corners on average — 3.23 taken by Adelaide Comets themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Adelaide Comets matches.
  • Games involving Sturt Lions produce 3.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • Adelaide Comets matches average 3.27 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (52%).

Sturt Lions — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Adelaide United NPL 3–2 0–3
2026-07-18 A D West Adelaide 0–0 4–4
2026-07-04 H W Playford 1–0 5–10
2026-06-26 A L West Torrens Birkalla 1–4 3–6
2026-06-20 H W Para Hills Knights 6–0 11–2
2026-06-13 A L Metrostars 0–1 2–1
2026-06-05 A L Adelaide City 1–4 4–7
2026-05-30 H W White City FK Beograd 2–1 3–5
2026-05-23 A L Campbelltown City 0–2 6–3
2026-05-16 H L Croydon FC 0–2 5–4

Adelaide Comets — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W White City FK Beograd 1–0 2–9
2026-07-17 A L Campbelltown City 0–1 4–6
2026-07-03 H L Croydon FC 1–4 6–2
2026-06-26 H L Adelaide City 0–1 4–8
2026-06-20 A D Adelaide United NPL 1–1 3–8
2026-06-12 H W West Adelaide 3–2 1–4
2026-06-06 A D Playford 2–2 3–5
2026-05-29 A L West Torrens Birkalla 1–4 0–8
2026-05-23 H W Para Hills Knights 4–0 4–3
2026-05-16 A D Metrostars 0–0 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
Our model gives Sturt Lions a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Adelaide Comets 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Comets?
The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.