MathPredictions
▾

Elite Club Friendlies

Sunderland vs Wrexham Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.67 – 1.33
Avg goals2.99
Our pickHome
Sunderland 44% Draw 26% Wrexham 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 44% 2.26 1.70
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.35 1.18
Goals 3 Under 55% 1.83 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.65 –
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +13% Value 62% 1.61 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.20 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.70  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 3.90
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 48 recent matches, Sunderland games produced 8.79 corners on average — 3.81 taken by Sunderland themselves.
  • Sunderland games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Wrexham matches average 9.81 total corners (4.49 won per game) across their last 57 with corner data.
  • Wrexham games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Sunderland matches average 2.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Games involving Wrexham produce 2.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 55% probability.

Sunderland — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 H L Leeds 0–1 5–2
2026-07-26 A L Liverpool 2–4 1–4
2026-07-18 A W York 5–1 1–5
2026-05-24 H W Chelsea 2–1 6–2
2026-05-17 A W Everton 3–1 2–3
2026-05-09 H D Man Utd 0–0 6–7
2026-05-02 A D Wolverhampton 1–1 3–6
2026-04-25 H L Nottm Forest 0–5 3–6
2026-04-19 A L Aston Villa 3–4 5–4
2026-04-12 H W Tottenham 1–0 2–6

Wrexham — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Liverpool 0–1 4–3
2026-07-26 A W Leeds 3–2 0–5
2026-07-18 A W Man Utd 1–0 2–3
2026-07-11 A D Wisla Krakow 0–0 5–7
2026-05-02 H D Middlesbrough 2–2 6–3
2026-04-26 A L Coventry 1–3 4–5
2026-04-22 A W Oxford Utd 1–0 5–9
2026-04-18 H W Stoke 2–0 2–6
2026-04-12 A L Birmingham 0–2 3–6
2026-04-08 H L Southampton 1–5 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Wrexham?
Our model gives Sunderland a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Wrexham 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.