Australia New South Wales Premier League
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.17
Avg goals2.75
Our pickHome
Sutherland Sharks 45%
Draw 27%
Wollongong Wolves 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.20 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +7% Value | 54% | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 55% | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 11 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.68 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 11 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Sutherland Sharks
11.1
Expected corners
5.8
Wollongong Wolves
Sutherland Sharks corner stats · Wollongong Wolves corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.1 corners in this match, with Sutherland Sharks winning 5.3 of them.
- Sutherland Sharks win 4.75 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.69 over their last 32.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 66% of Sutherland Sharks matches.
- Across 37 recent matches, Wollongong Wolves games produced 9.95 corners on average — 4.49 taken by Wollongong Wolves themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Wollongong Wolves matches.
- Games involving Sutherland Sharks produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Wollongong Wolves matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (54%).
Sutherland Sharks — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Rockdale Ilinden FC | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Sydney Olympic | 1–1 | 7–12 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Manly Utd | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Apia L Tigers | 3–2 | 4–12 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W University NSW | 3–1 | 5–12 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL | 3–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Blacktown City | 1–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W St George Saints | 2–1 | 5–14 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Sydney United 58 | 1–0 | 4–16 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W NWS Spirit FC | 1–0 | 5–8 |
Wollongong Wolves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Blacktown City | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L SD Raiders | 2–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Sydney Olympic | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D St George City FA | 3–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L NWS Spirit FC | 0–2 | 2–11 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Sydney FC NPL | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Apia L Tigers | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Marconi Stallions | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L University NSW | 0–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W St George Saints | 2–0 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves?
- Our model gives Sutherland Sharks a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Wollongong Wolves 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.