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UK Friendlies

Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 1.52
Avg goals2.85
Our pickAway
Sutton Utd 32% Draw 27% Southampton U21 41%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away +12% Value 41% 2.47 2.75
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.16
Goals 2.5 Over 54% 1.84 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.70 –
Corners 9.5 Under 56% 1.79 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.78 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 2.75
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Sutton Utd
9.0 Expected corners
3.9 Southampton U21

Sutton Utd corner stats · Southampton U21 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 44% Under 56%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9 corners here; Sutton Utd are forecast for 5.
  • Across 61 recent matches, Sutton Utd games produced 10.20 corners on average — 5.41 taken by Sutton Utd themselves.
  • Sutton Utd games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
  • Southampton U21 matches average 9.86 total corners (4.55 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
  • Southampton U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
  • Sutton Utd matches average 3.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
  • Games involving Southampton U21 produce 3.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 83%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 54% probability.

Sutton Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H W Folkestone Invicta 2–1 6–2
2026-07-25 H W Horsham 2–0 2–2
2026-07-22 H D Walton & Hersham 1–1 9–3
2026-07-18 H L AFC Wimbledon 1–2 2–6
2026-07-15 A W Tonbridge Angels 2–0 1–3
2026-04-25 A L Boreham Wood 0–1 6–5
2026-04-18 H L Altrincham 1–2 2–1
2026-04-11 A L Carlisle 0–3 3–6
2026-04-06 H L Southend 0–3 5–5
2026-04-03 A D Aldershot 2–2 2–9

Southampton U21 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-25 H D Aston Villa U21 3–3 7–2
2026-04-12 A L Stoke U21 0–1 7–5
2026-03-21 H W Leeds U21 2–1 4–3
2026-03-13 A L Man Utd U21 1–2 3–9
2026-03-07 A W Nottm Forest U21 2–1 6–5
2026-02-27 H D Everton U21 2–2 3–7
2026-02-20 H W Middlesbrough U21 2–1 3–8
2026-02-13 A D Norwich U21 1–1 8–4
2026-02-08 H D Liverpool U21 1–1 7–5
2026-02-04 H L RB Leipzig U21 0–3 13–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
Our model gives Sutton Utd a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Southampton U21 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.