MathPredictions
▾

Europe Friendlies

Swansea vs Leganes Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.68 – 0.93
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Swansea 54% Draw 27% Leganes 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 54% 1.86 1.67
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.24 1.18
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 50% 1.99 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.90 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 3 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Swansea matches average 9.89 total corners (4.54 won per game) across their last 54 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Swansea matches.
  • Leganes win 4.61 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.45 over their last 49.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Leganes matches.
  • Games involving Swansea produce 2.63 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • Leganes matches average 2.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Swansea — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W Udinese 2–0 2–4
2026-07-18 H D Holstein Kiel 2–2 5–4
2026-05-02 H W Charlton 3–1 10–4
2026-04-25 A D Norwich 1–1 2–5
2026-04-22 A W QPR 2–1 5–4
2026-04-18 H L Southampton 1–2 4–12
2026-04-11 A W Leicester 1–0 2–12
2026-04-07 H D Middlesbrough 2–2 2–10
2026-04-03 A D Sheff Utd 3–3 2–4
2026-03-22 H L Coventry 0–3 2–7

Leganes — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-17 H D Albacete Balompie 0–0 4–5
2026-07-12 A L Levante 1–2 2–5
2026-06-01 H W Mirandes 1–0 5–3
2026-05-25 A L Cadiz 0–3 6–4
2026-05-19 H D Huesca 0–0 3–7
2026-05-10 H L Racing Santander 1–2 5–3
2026-05-02 A L Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 2–9
2026-04-27 H L FC Andorra 0–4 9–5
2026-04-18 A L Las Palmas 0–2 5–5
2026-04-11 H W Albacete Balompie 2–1 10–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Swansea vs Leganes?
Our model gives Swansea a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Leganes 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.