MathPredictions
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Australia New South Wales Premier League

Sydney Olympic vs Apia L Tigers Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.11 – 2.55
Avg goals3.65
Our pickAway
Sydney Olympic 14% Draw 18% Apia L Tigers 68%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 68% 1.48 1.40
Double chance – Draw or away 86% 1.16 1.06
Goals 3.25 Over +6% Value 55% 1.81 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.60 1.62
Asian handicap 1.25 Away 53% 1.91 1.88
Corners 9.5 Over 66% 1.51 –
Correct score – 1-2 9% 10.75 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.75  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 1.40
Goals 3.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Sydney Olympic
11.1 Expected corners
6.8 Apia L Tigers

Sydney Olympic corner stats · Apia L Tigers corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 66% Under 34%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 11.1 corners here; Sydney Olympic are forecast for 4.3.
  • Sydney Olympic matches average 10.33 total corners (4.41 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Sydney Olympic games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Apia L Tigers win 5.69 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 36.
  • Apia L Tigers games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Sydney Olympic matches average 3.49 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.
  • Games involving Apia L Tigers produce 3.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 55% probability.

Sydney Olympic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H L Brisbane Roar 0–3 6–7
2026-07-24 A L Manly Utd 0–4 3–6
2026-07-18 A D Sutherland Sharks 1–1 12–7
2026-07-11 H W Wollongong Wolves 3–2 3–1
2026-07-04 A L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL 1–2 4–4
2026-06-27 A W St George Saints 2–1 3–9
2026-06-20 H L Rockdale Ilinden FC 0–4 0–6
2026-06-13 A L NWS Spirit FC 0–3 1–7
2026-06-10 H D SD Raiders 1–1 2–5
2026-06-06 A D St George City FA 1–1 3–8

Apia L Tigers — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W University NSW 4–1 6–9
2026-07-18 A W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL 5–3 9–3
2026-07-14 H W Peninsula Power 2–1 9–4
2026-07-11 H W Sydney FC NPL 2–1 2–7
2026-07-04 A L Sutherland Sharks 2–3 12–4
2026-06-28 H L Rockdale Ilinden FC 0–2 1–8
2026-06-21 A W Blacktown City 3–1 7–7
2026-06-13 A W Wollongong Wolves 2–0 6–4
2026-06-06 H W Manly Utd 2–0 4–2
2026-05-30 A W NWS Spirit FC 2–1 5–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sydney Olympic vs Apia L Tigers?
Our model gives Sydney Olympic a 14% chance, the draw 18% and Apia L Tigers 68%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How many corners are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Apia L Tigers?
The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.