Australia New South Wales Premier League
Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 0.90
Avg goals2.25
Our pickHome
Sydney United 58 46%
Draw 30%
NWS Spirit FC 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.16 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +13% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 54% | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 60% | 1.68 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +5% Value | 14% | 7.12 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
Sydney United 58
8.7
Expected corners
3.8
NWS Spirit FC
Sydney United 58 corner stats · NWS Spirit FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 40%
Under 60%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.7 corners in this match, with Sydney United 58 winning 4.8 of them.
- Sydney United 58 win 5.29 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.29 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Sydney United 58 matches.
- Across 37 recent matches, NWS Spirit FC games produced 8.46 corners on average — 4.51 taken by NWS Spirit FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of NWS Spirit FC matches.
- Games involving Sydney United 58 produce 2.33 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
- NWS Spirit FC matches average 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (61%).
Sydney United 58 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L St George City FA | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | D Central Coast Mariners | 1–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Marconi Stallions | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Blacktown City | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L Sydney FC NPL | 0–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W SD Raiders | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-06-12 | A | D Manly Utd | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL | 2–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Sutherland Sharks | 0–1 | 16–4 |
NWS Spirit FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL | 0–4 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L University NSW | 1–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W St George Saints | 3–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Wollongong Wolves | 2–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L St George City FA | 0–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Sydney Olympic | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L Sydney FC NPL | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Apia L Tigers | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Sutherland Sharks | 0–1 | 8–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC?
- Our model gives Sydney United 58 a 46% chance, the draw 30% and NWS Spirit FC 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 40% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.