Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W) vs NWS Spirit (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.20 – 1.75
Avg goals3.95
Our pickHome
Sydney University (W) 48%
Draw 22%
NWS Spirit (W) 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +38% Value | 48% | 2.10 | 2.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over +10% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +27% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 8% | 12.29 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.90 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Sydney University (W)
9.5
Expected corners
4.4
NWS Spirit (W)
Sydney University (W) corner stats · NWS Spirit (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Sydney University (W) winning 5.1 of them.
- Sydney University (W) matches average 8.81 total corners (4.35 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Sydney University (W) matches.
- NWS Spirit (W) win 3.82 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.73 over their last 22.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of NWS Spirit (W) matches.
- Games involving Sydney University (W) produce 3.77 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
- NWS Spirit (W) matches average 4.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 3.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 7.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.25 (62%).
Sydney University (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Macarthur Rams (W) | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Hills United FC (W) | 0–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 5–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Gladesville Ravens (W) | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Apia L Tigers (W) | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Manly Utd (W) | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D University NSW (W) | 1–1 | 3–5 |
NWS Spirit (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Hills United FC (W) | 1–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Macarthur Rams (W) | 4–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Apia L Tigers (W) | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Bulls FC Academy (W) | 4–4 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 4–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Gladesville Ravens (W) | 3–1 | 10–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Sydney University (W) | 0–6 | 0–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sydney University (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)?
- Our model gives Sydney University (W) a 48% chance, the draw 22% and NWS Spirit (W) 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Sydney University (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.