USA MLS Next Pro League
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.16 – 1.36
Avg goals3.52
Our pickHome
Tacoma Defiance 55%
Draw 22%
Vancouver Whitecaps II 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 55% | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 52% | 1.91 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 55% | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 10.46 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.80 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
Tacoma Defiance
9.6
Expected corners
4.4
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Tacoma Defiance corner stats · Vancouver Whitecaps II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; Tacoma Defiance are forecast for 5.2.
- Across 30 recent matches, Tacoma Defiance games produced 9.83 corners on average — 4.77 taken by Tacoma Defiance themselves.
- Tacoma Defiance games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Vancouver Whitecaps II matches average 9.50 total corners (4.66 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Vancouver Whitecaps II games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Tacoma Defiance matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Vancouver Whitecaps II produce 3.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 84%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 52% probability.
Tacoma Defiance — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Colorado Rapids II | 2–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | W Real Monarchs SLC | 4–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | W The Town | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | L Portland Timbers II | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | D Minnesota United FC II | 2–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W Real Monarchs SLC | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W Houston Dynamo II | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Portland Timbers II | 0–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Ventura County FC | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2–0 | 2–7 |
Vancouver Whitecaps II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D St. Louis City SC II | 1–1 | 0–8 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | L Austin FC II | 0–4 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Real Monarchs SLC | 1–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W Ventura County FC | 3–2 | 3–13 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Colorado Rapids II | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W The Town | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | D North Texas SC | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Portland Timbers II | 0–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Ventura County FC | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Real Monarchs SLC | 1–3 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
- Our model gives Tacoma Defiance a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Vancouver Whitecaps II 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.