MathPredictions
▾

Uruguay Segunda

Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.13
Avg goals2.31
Our pickHome
Tacuarembo 36% Draw 31% CA River Plate 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.81 2.70
Double chance – Home or away 69% 1.45 1.24
Goals 2 Over 56% 1.78 1.80
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.93 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +7% Value 60% 1.66 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 53% 1.88 –
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.87 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.70  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.30
Goals 2 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Tacuarembo
9.3 Expected corners
4.7 CA River Plate

Tacuarembo corner stats · CA River Plate corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with Tacuarembo winning 4.5 of them.
  • Across 30 recent matches, Tacuarembo games produced 8.53 corners on average — 4.53 taken by Tacuarembo themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Tacuarembo matches.
  • CA River Plate matches average 10.03 total corners (5.63 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of CA River Plate matches.
  • Games involving Tacuarembo produce 2.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • CA River Plate matches average 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.00 (56%).

Tacuarembo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Plaza Colonia 0–2 8–3
2026-07-14 A L La Luz 0–2 2–3
2026-07-06 H D Cerrito 0–0 1–4
2026-06-27 A L CA Atenas 0–2 3–3
2026-06-21 H W Paysandu FC 1–0 4–6
2026-06-13 A L Huracan FC 1–2 3–5
2026-06-08 H W Uruguay Montevideo 1–0 6–5
2026-06-01 A L Club Oriental 0–2 5–4
2026-05-24 H W Colon FC 2–0 1–5
2026-05-18 A W Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2–1 5–5

CA River Plate — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A D Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 7–7
2026-07-12 H W Plaza Colonia 3–2 5–4
2026-07-05 A W Club Oriental 2–1 5–7
2026-06-28 H D La Luz 0–0 4–2
2026-06-20 A L Colon FC 1–2 3–6
2026-06-14 H W Cerrito 6–4 4–7
2026-06-06 A L Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1–3 9–3
2026-06-01 H L CA Atenas 0–2 8–2
2026-05-24 A W Rentistas 2–1 5–5
2026-05-17 H W Paysandu FC 1–0 7–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate?
Our model gives Tacuarembo a 36% chance, the draw 31% and CA River Plate 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Tacuarembo vs CA River Plate?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.