MathPredictions

USA USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-110%2-110%2-09%
Expected goals2.01 – 1.10
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
Tampa Bay Rowdies 58% Draw 22% Indy Eleven 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 58% 1.72 1.38
Double chance Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.05
Goals 3 Under 51% 1.94 1.95
Both teams to score Yes +7% Value 58% 1.72 1.83
Asian handicap -1.25 Away +17% Value 60% 1.66 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 59% 1.70
Correct score 1-1 10% 9.75 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.38  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 6.00
Goals 3 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies
10.3 Expected corners
4.0 Indy Eleven
Corner line 9.50
Over 59% Under 41%

Match trends

Tampa Bay Rowdies — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-09 A W Orange County SC 3–0 1–1
2026-08-02 H W Louisville City FC 5–4 5–2
2026-07-26 A W Miami FC 3–2 3–3
2026-07-19 A D Loudoun United FC 1–1 5–5
2026-07-12 H W FC Naples 2–0 3–2
2026-07-05 H L Lexington SC 1–4 12–2
2026-06-21 A W Brooklyn FC 2–0 3–5
2026-06-14 H L Hartford Athletic 0–1 15–1
2026-06-11 H D Charleston Battery 2–2 5–3
2026-06-07 A W Sporting JAX 2–0 4–3

Indy Eleven — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L San Antonio FC 1–3 6–5
2026-07-26 H L Loudoun United FC 0–1 9–3
2026-07-19 A L Detroit City FC 0–2 5–5
2026-07-16 A L Miami FC 0–2 9–1
2026-07-05 H W Charleston Battery 2–0 7–4
2026-06-21 A D Lexington SC 0–0 3–10
2026-06-14 A L Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 4–4
2026-06-07 H W Forward Madison FC 2–0 8–1
2026-05-31 H W Rhode Island FC 1–0 6–6
2026-05-24 H W Lexington SC 3–1 5–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Our model gives Tampa Bay Rowdies a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Indy Eleven 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.