USA USL Championship
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-110%2-110%2-09%
Expected goals2.01 – 1.10
Avg goals3.11
Our pickHome
Tampa Bay Rowdies 58%
Draw 22%
Indy Eleven 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 58% | 1.72 | 1.38 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 51% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes +7% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +17% Value | 60% | 1.66 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.75 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.38 · Draw 4.33 · Away 6.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
10.3
Expected corners
4.0
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies corner stats · Indy Eleven corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; Tampa Bay Rowdies are forecast for 6.3.
- Across 36 recent matches, Tampa Bay Rowdies games produced 8.58 corners on average — 4.86 taken by Tampa Bay Rowdies themselves.
- Tampa Bay Rowdies games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Indy Eleven matches average 10.28 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- Indy Eleven games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
- Tampa Bay Rowdies matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Indy Eleven produce 2.61 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 51% probability.
Tampa Bay Rowdies — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | W Orange County SC | 3–0 | 1–1 |
| 2026-08-02 | H | W Louisville City FC | 5–4 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Miami FC | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Loudoun United FC | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W FC Naples | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Lexington SC | 1–4 | 12–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Brooklyn FC | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Hartford Athletic | 0–1 | 15–1 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | D Charleston Battery | 2–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W Sporting JAX | 2–0 | 4–3 |
Indy Eleven — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L San Antonio FC | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Loudoun United FC | 0–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Detroit City FC | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | L Miami FC | 0–2 | 9–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Charleston Battery | 2–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Lexington SC | 0–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Forward Madison FC | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Rhode Island FC | 1–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Lexington SC | 3–1 | 5–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
- Our model gives Tampa Bay Rowdies a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Indy Eleven 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.